17 Sept · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1617
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.