18 Sept · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1686
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Karel
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1547
FormLWLWW
61%
39%
🌟Karel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (36)
Fair odds · Karel
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+139
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)