18 Sept · 07:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1502
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kantor
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.