18 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Precek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.