18 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1553
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1568
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (103)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.