18 Sept · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1627
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1561
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (150)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H56-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-38)