18 Sept · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1568
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krenek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1502
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (103)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)