18 Sept · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1432
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Holik
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1533
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Holik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H11-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)