18 Sept · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1568
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1627
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 67% (91)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H44-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-38)