18 Sept · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1385
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jr
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1493
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H28-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)