18 Sept · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1507
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jnr
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1434
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Snr covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)