18 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kantor
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.