18 Sept · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1502
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 65% (72)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.