18 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kantor
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1524
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kantor
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.