18 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1514
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fiklik
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1487
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (167)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.