18 Sept · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1427
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jamrich
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1400
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Marat goes over total as underdog 64% (80)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H15-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.