18 Sept · 17:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1271
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1501
FormWWWWL
32%
68%
🌟Kolbusovsky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (112)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+230
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)