18 Sept · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1537
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cibik
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1501
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (122)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 14%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H19-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.