18 Sept · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1557
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Hons
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1422
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Hons
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)