18 Sept · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1447
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Muller
DM
🇨🇿Dominik Muller
ELO 1461
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.