18 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1686
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvarskyi
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1603
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)