18 Sept · 19:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1646
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Guzy
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1576
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 12%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)