18 Sept · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1454
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1644
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+190
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)