18 Sept · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Odelski
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1586
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Odelski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)