18 Sept · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1635
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Guzy
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1471
FormLWLLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+164
H2H74-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-44)