18 Sept · 23:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1592
FormWWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Odelski
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1451
FormLWWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Odelski
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)