19 Sept · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1442
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulveit
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1413
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Jamrich rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (28)
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H12-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.