19 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1472
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1511
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H18-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.