19 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H24-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.