19 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1562
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.