19 Sept · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1581
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaloupka
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1472
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H19-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-12)