19 Sept · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1562
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1581
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H36-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.