19 Sept · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1474
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1607
FormWLWWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)