19 Sept · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1476
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Jnr stays under total as favourite 63% (49)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H12-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.