19 Sept · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1533
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H24-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.