19 Sept · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1570
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jnr🌟Jnr covers set handicap as underdog 70% (40)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)