19 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1511
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Travnicek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1580
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (61)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)