19 Sept · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1680
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvarskyi
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1608
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)