20 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1437
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1489
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (56)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.