20 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1519
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Marsalek
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1437
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Marsalek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Marsalek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)