20 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1571
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sindler
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1474
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H28-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-18)