20 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SV
🇨🇿Stepan Vyskocil
ELO 1567
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vyskocil
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1557
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Trnka🌟Vyskocil goes over total as favourite 76% (17)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.88· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.