20 Sept · 07:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1571
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Sindler
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1414
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobota🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+157
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)