19 Sept · 23:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1479
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bartosz
BB
🇨🇿Bilski Bartosz
ELO 1528
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Bartosz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.