19 Sept · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1642
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Guzy
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1578
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H33-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)