20 Sept · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1481
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (170)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H19-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.