20 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1607
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sebl
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1527
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)