20 Sept · 10:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1330
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebek
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1321
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Sebek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (12)
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.92· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.