20 Sept · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
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🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1503
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Drozd
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1449
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.