20 Sept · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1548
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budik
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1501
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dohnal🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (61)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H33-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.